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    Euro hovers at $1.088 as ECB prepares for policy review

    The euro has been fluctuating around the $1.088 mark as traders and investors anxiously await the European Central Bank’s (ECB) upcoming monetary policy review. 

    The currency has recently weakened from its four-month high of $1.094, set on July 17th, indicating market uncertainty.

    ECB expected to cut rates

    According to data from Trading Economics, market speculation points to the likelihood of two more rate cuts by the ECB before the end of the year, with adjustments possibly starting as early as September. 

    Vice President Luis de Guindos emphasized the importance of new macroeconomic forecasts in September to guide the bank’s policy decisions.

    ECB’s recent actions and future decisions

    The ECB kept interest rates steady last week, aligning with market expectations. President Christine Lagarde stated that the decision on September’s monetary policy adjustments remains open and will be based on forthcoming economic data and forecasts. 

    This cautious approach highlights the ECB’s commitment to data-driven decisions amid evolving economic conditions.

    Upcoming data release

    Traders and analysts are eagerly anticipating the release of July’s flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for the Eurozone, Germany, and France this week. 

    This data will provide crucial insights into the economic health and performance of these key regions, offering guidance for market participants navigating the euro’s ongoing fluctuations.

    Market sentiment and future outlook

    The euro’s recent weakness from its peak reflects underlying market anxiety as traders speculate on the ECB’s next moves. 

    The anticipation of rate cuts and the emphasis on new macroeconomic forecasts underscore the ECB’s adaptive strategy in response to economic indicators. 

    The upcoming PMI data will be a critical factor in shaping market sentiment and expectations for the euro’s trajectory.

    Key economic indicators

    The flash PMI data for the Eurozone, Germany, and France will serve as a barometer for economic activity and sentiment in these significant regions.

    A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could bolster the euro, while weaker data may reinforce expectations of further monetary easing by the ECB.

    As the euro hovers around the $1.088 mark, the market remains focused on the ECB’s upcoming policy review and the release of critical economic data. 

    The central bank’s decisions, guided by new forecasts and economic indicators, will play a pivotal role in determining the euro’s path in the coming months. Investors and traders should stay attuned to these developments to navigate the potential volatility in the currency markets.

    The post Euro hovers at $1.088 as ECB prepares for policy review appeared first on Invezz

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